Case Studies in Frustration and Victory. Third of Three Parts. In Parts One and Two of this series, we looked at the Republican “repeal and replace” effort as a case study in frustration. As we have seen, the GOP’s persistence in the face of overwhelming opposition was impressive. Yet as we have also seen, persistence does not always translate into victory.
Indeed, if we look beyond politics to a most extreme example of massed persistence—World War One’s Battle of Passchendaele, a century ago—we might gain insight into the value of adjusting one’s strategy in the face of heavy fire. And in fact, as we shall see, disaster in the short run can sometimes sow the seeds of long- run success. In the meantime, today’s Republicans are learning to make the necessary adjustment—and of course, the only incoming rounds they face are figurative. Happily, nobody’s getting killed. Indeed, the GOP might be getting back on the political offensive. Just on Wednesday at the White House, President Trump, flanked by U. S. Senators Tom Cotton and David Perdue, opened up a new front. Together, they announced an ambitious immigration reform bill, aimed at boosting American workers’ wages.
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So yes, already, the GOP is recovering; it is launching a coordinated new offensive, aimed at a new target—it is not simply flailing away at the old target. The Republicans Pivot Out of a Quagmire. On Capitol Hill, too, it’s evident that most Republicans have decided to “move on,” as Senate Majority Leader Mitch Mc.
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Connell said in the wee hours of July 2. GOP healthcare bill failed. That same day, Politico quoted conservative tax activist Ryan Ellis: “I think everyone is eager to pivot [from] the health care quagmire.”Indeed, since then, Capitol Hill Republicans have been doing just that: pivoting. An August 1 headline in The New York Times practically shouted that message: “Republicans in Congress Bypass Trump to Shore Up Health Law.” The article quoted Sen. Lamar Alexander, chairman of the Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee, who had voted with Mc. Connell, but has now adjusted himself to the new reality: “Any solution that Congress passes for a 2.
In other words, after Republicans threw long incomplete passes on Obamacare, they are now trying a more cautious ground game. Needless to say, Republican lawmakers aren’t happy about this shift in the game plan. Yet they know that they still have their jobs to do for the sake of the survival of the their majority; they have to put points on the board—and that’s what solid team play is all about. For instance, Rep. Jack Reed (R- N. Y.), who back in May voted “aye” on the House version of the GOP bill, is now seeking to hammer out a bipartisan compromise on healthcare, however temporary. Reed conceded, “Many in our party don’t want us to do this.” Indeed, the New York solon added, “Many of us still retain our philosophical opposition and substantive opposition to the Affordable Care Act.” Yet sometimes, Reed continued, one must do what’s needed, even if it’s distasteful; as he put it, “It’s clear [that what] we have to do is come together, find that common ground and govern for the American people.”To be sure, the GOP came to this new limited- objective strategy the hard way—by taking hard hits on its original bold Obamacare plan. According to Gallup, President Trump’s approval rating fallen; it’s now just 3. Rasmussen, show similar numbers. Indeed, as polling pundit Ron Faucheux observes, the damage extends beyond the White House. According to the latest survey data, public approval of Obamacare stands at 5.
Meanwhile, by a 4. Democrats more than Republicans on healthcare. So that’s a lot of damage to the GOP brand. Yet at the same time, Faucheux notes that a whopping 7. Americans agree that the healthcare system “needs fundamental changes,” or “needs to be completely rebuilt.” So obviously, at least in the long term, there’s a political “market” for substantial healthcare reform.
Yet still, there’s not much of a market in the near term. We might consider, for instance, the efforts of Republican Sens. Bill Cassidy of Louisiana and Lindsey Graham of South Carolina; they are still seeking ways, even now, to “repeal and replace.” For their trouble, on August 1, they were greeted with a bearish headline in Politico: “Newest GOP health care attempt faces same tough odds.”The two lawmakers are both savvy pols; they are acutely aware of the obstacles that past efforts have faced—both on the right as well as the left. And yet savvy awareness doesn’t necessarily mean that they have found a way to square the healthcare circle. As Politico put it: The so- called Graham- Cassidy plan would still force deep health spending cuts, as well as set new limits that would end Medicaid’s open- ended entitlement status and threaten subsidies designed to help people afford coverage. Each element could raise objections from moderate GOP senators. That comes on top of keeping nearly all of Obamacare’s taxes, a likely deal- breaker for conservatives still intent on scrapping the entire law. In other words, repeal- and- replacers shouldn’t get their hopes up. In fact, by now it should be evident that if Republicans wish to score a new breakthrough against the Obamacare status quo, they will need to do more than just keep trying the same old thing. That is, they will have to think anew, and come up with something fresh. And sometimes, a look back at history can help. The Passchendaele Precedent It’s often been said that history is a series of case studies. And as every business- school student knows, case studies are a great way to learn.
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That is, the student—as well as those who are merely curious and wish to learn—can examine a given historical event and then make a judgment: Did the protagonists play it right, or did they play it wrong? How could they have done better? And perhaps more poignantly, What would I have done? So in that spirit of inquiry, let’s venture far from health—all the way to death. Let’s focus, in particular, on an historical event that has come to symbolize frustration, failure, and folly—even if, in the end, it also planted the seeds of future success. The Battle of Passchendaele, also known as the Third Battle of Ypres, was fought in Belgium between July and November of 1. On the one side were the British, the Canadians, and the French (the US had entered the war in April of that year, but our troops had not yet reached Over There), and on the other side, of course, were the Germans. The battle ended in what might be called a “catastrophic victory” for the Allies; British casualties alone are estimated at 4. German losses, while substantial, were much less. Ever since, Passchendaele has loomed large in British consciousness. For instance, in the new movie, Churchill, set in 1.
The World War One Battle of Passchendaele, fought a century ago, offers insight into the value of adjusting one’s strategy in the face of heavy fire. Tomorrow is the main event with the 14th Annual Memphis Pride Festival in Robert Church Park starting at 10 am, followed by the parade down Beale St.